2016 Oregon gubernatorial special election
2016 Oregon gubernatorial special election
County results Precinct results Brown: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%Pierce: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%Tie: 40–50% No data
The 2016 Oregon gubernatorial special election took place on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor of Oregon , concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election , as well as elections for the U.S. Senate and U.S. House of Representatives , other gubernatorial elections and various state and local elections .
The election determined who would fill the remaining two years of the term of Democratic governor John Kitzhaber , who was re-elected in 2014 and resigned in February 2015. Incumbent Democratic governor Kate Brown , who as Oregon Secretary of State succeeded to the governorship, ran for election to the office. In primary elections held on May 17, Brown easily captured the Democratic nomination, and the Republicans picked Salem oncologist Bud Pierce .
Brown won the election and became the first openly LGBT person elected to a term as governor in U.S. history. This election was the first time since 1990 that a woman was elected Governor of Oregon.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Julian Bell, critical care and pulmonary medicine specialist[1]
Kate Brown , incumbent governor[2]
Chet Chance, professional driver[3]
Kevin M. Forsythe, Walmart employee[3]
Steve Johnson, health worker[3] [4]
Dave Stauffer, environmental engineer[3]
Declined
Results
Results by county:
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Declined
Polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Allen Alley
Bruce Cuff
Bob Forthan
Bob Neimeyer
Bud Pierce
Undecided
DHM Research Archived 2016-05-19 at the Wayback Machine
May 6–9, 2016
324
± 5.7%
22%
3%
1%
5%
25%
44%
Results
Results by county: 30–40%
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
Independent Party primary
The Independent Party of Oregon officially qualified as a major party on August 17, 2015.[24]
Candidates
Declared
Patrick Barney[3]
Cliff Thomason, realtor[3]
Declined
Results
Results by county. Blue indicates a win by Thomason, yellow a win by Barney.
Minor parties
General election
Debates
Predictions
Polling
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Kate Brown (D)
Bud Pierce (R)
Other/Undecided[a]
Margin
Real Clear Politics
October 4–29, 2016
October 29, 2016
45.5%
35.5%
19.0%
Brown +10.0%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Kate Brown (D)
Bud Pierce (R)
Cliff Thomason (I)
James Foster (L)
Other
Undecided
SurveyMonkey
November 1–7, 2016
1,595
± 4.6%
56%
41%
—
—
—
3%
SurveyMonkey
October 31 – November 6, 2016
1,483
± 4.6%
56%
40%
—
—
—
4%
SurveyMonkey
October 28 – November 3, 2016
1,150
± 4.6%
56%
40%
—
—
—
4%
SurveyMonkey
October 27 – November 2, 2016
934
± 4.6%
55%
41%
—
—
—
4%
SurveyMonkey
October 26 – November 1, 2016
809
± 4.6%
54%
41%
—
—
—
5%
SurveyMonkey
October 25–31, 2016
743
± 4.6%
54%
42%
—
—
—
4%
FOX 12 Oregon/DHM Research Archived 2016-11-02 at the Wayback Machine
October 24–29, 2016
504
± 4.4%
42%
33%
4%
3%
4%
15%
Clout Research (R)
October 20–21, 2016
928
± 3.2%
45%
43%
—
—
6%
6%
KGW Oregonian/Riley Research Archived 2016-10-20 at the Wayback Machine
October 4–14, 2016
608
± 4.0%
48%
34%
—
—
—
13%
Oregon Public Broadcasting/DHM Research Archived 2016-10-18 at the Wayback Machine
October 6–13, 2016
600
± 4.0%
46%
33%
4%
3%
—
12%
KATU-TV/SurveyUSA
October 10–12, 2016
654
± 3.9%
46%
42%
—
—
4%
8%
iCitizen
September 2–7, 2016
610
± 4.0%
44%
27%
3%
3%
—
23%
KATU-TV/DHM Research
September 1–6, 2016
517
± 4.3%
43%
35%
—
—
—
18%
Clout Research (R)
July 9–13, 2016
701
± 3.7%
43%
42%
5%
2%
—
7%
iCitizen
June 23–27, 2016
555
± 4.0%
42%
35%
—
—
—
23%
Action Solutions Archived 2016-06-22 at the Wayback Machine →
June 1–2, 2016
600
± 5.7%
39%
37%
—
—
—
24%
Moore Information Archived 2015-04-28 at the Wayback Machine
April 20, 2015
500
± 4.0%
45%
27%
—
—
—
28%
→ Indicates an internal poll conducted on behalf of Bud Pierce.
Hypothetical polling
with Allen Alley
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Kate Brown (D)
Allen Alley (R)
Other
Undecided
Moore Information Archived 2015-04-28 at the Wayback Machine
April 20, 2015
500
± 4.0%
47%
32%
—
21%
with Shane Bemis
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Kate Brown (D)
Shane Bemis (R)
Other
Undecided
Moore Information Archived 2015-04-28 at the Wayback Machine
April 20, 2015
500
± 4.0%
45%
26%
—
28%
with Dennis Richardson
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Kate Brown (D)
Dennis Richardson (R)
Other
Undecided
Moore Information Archived 2015-04-28 at the Wayback Machine
April 20, 2015
500
± 4.0%
48%
41%
—
12%
Results
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Results by congressional district
Brown won 3 of the state's 5 congressional districts . Pierce won the other two, including one that elected a Democrat.
Notes
^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
References
^ Mortensen, Camilla (October 1, 2015). "Climate Change Fuels a Run For Governor" . Eugene Weekly . Archived from the original on October 5, 2015. Retrieved October 6, 2015 .
^ Theriault, Denis C. (September 18, 2015) "Kate Brown makes clear she's running for governor" , The Oregonian . Retrieved September 18, 2015.
^ a b c d e f Kullgren, Ian (March 9, 2016). "Election 2016: Who's running for office in Oregon? Portland? We've got your list right here" . The Oregonian . Retrieved April 7, 2016 .
^ "Steve Johnson 2016 | Home" . sbjforgovernor.org . Archived from the original on March 31, 2016. Retrieved June 6, 2022 .
^ a b c Topaz, Jonathan (February 13, 2015). "Meet Kate Brown" . Politico . Retrieved October 6, 2015 .
^ Theriault, Denis C. (October 6, 2015). "Oregon labor commissioner announces run for secretary of state" . The Oregonian . Retrieved October 6, 2015 .
^ Schmidt, Brad (September 9, 2015). "Ted Wheeler: 'I'm running for mayor of Portland' " . The Oregonian . Retrieved October 6, 2015 .
^ a b c "May 17, 2016 Primary Election Results" . Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved June 18, 2016 .
^ Theriault, Denis C. (March 7, 2016). "Shakeup in governor's race: Allen Alley wants Republican nomination" . The Oregonian . Retrieved March 7, 2016 .
^ a b Friedman, Gordeon (March 2, 2016). "Report: Allen Alley running for Oregon governor" . KGW . Archived from the original on March 3, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2016 .
^ Theriault, Denis C. (September 29, 2015). "Another Republican has filed for the 2016 Oregon governor's race" . The Oregonian . Retrieved October 6, 2015 .
^ "About Our Clinic" . Hematology Oncology of Salem . Archived from the original on July 15, 2011. Retrieved January 28, 2016 .
^ Gray, Chris (September 24, 2015). "The Lund Report" . The Lund Report . Retrieved January 28, 2016 .
^ Kullgren, Ian K. (March 16, 2015). "Republican doctor from Salem contemplates gubernatorial run" . The Oregonian . Retrieved March 16, 2015 .
^ "Kate Brown confirms she'll run for governor" . The Associated Press . September 18, 2015. Retrieved September 18, 2015 .
^ a b Forrester, Steve (April 19, 2015). "Middle-ground Republican could give Brown a race" . The Daily Astorian . Retrieved April 21, 2015 .
^ Anderson, Taylor W. (July 13, 2015). "Buehler says he may run for Oregon governor in 2016" . The Bulletin . Retrieved July 13, 2015 .
^ Theriault, Denis C. (August 25, 2015). "Knute Buehler says he won't run for governor, wants to stay in House" . The Oregonian . Retrieved October 6, 2015 .
^ Glucklich, Elon (June 30, 2015). "Lane County Commissioner Sid Leiken out of Oregon governor's race, seeks Secretary of State post instead" . The Register-Guard . Archived from the original on July 16, 2015. Retrieved July 13, 2015 .
^ Hubbard, Saul (April 21, 2015). "GOP Rep. Julie Parrish announces that she won't run for statewide office in 2016, despite speculation that she will #orleg #orpol" . Twitter. Retrieved April 21, 2015 .
^ Anderson, Taylor W. (August 28, 2015). "Dennis Richardson 'not interested in running' in 2016" . The Bend Bulletin . Retrieved October 6, 2015 .
^ Theriault, Denis C. (April 23, 2015). "Election 2016: Linn County Republican says she's been 'approached' for governor's race" . The Oregonian . Retrieved April 23, 2015 .
^ "Monica Wehby says she won't run for governor in 2016 after all" . OregonLive. September 2, 2015.
^ Mapes, Jeff (August 17, 2015). "Independent Party of Oregon qualifies as a major party" . The Oregonian . Retrieved August 18, 2015 .
^ Borrud, Hillary (August 16, 2015). "Johnson tour sparks speculation she's running for governor" . East Oregonian . Retrieved August 18, 2015 .
^ a b "Candidate Filings" (pdf) . Retrieved July 30, 2016 .
^ "Aaron Donald Auer" . Constitution Party of Oregon. Archived from the original on August 16, 2016. Retrieved July 30, 2016 .
^ "James Foster" . Libertarian Party of Oregon. Archived from the original on May 18, 2016. Retrieved July 30, 2016 .
^ "2016 Governor Race ratings" . The Cook Political Report . Retrieved October 15, 2018 .
^ "Elections 2015-16" . Daily Kos . Retrieved October 15, 2018 .[permanent dead link ]
^ "Gubernatorial Ratings" . The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2018 .
^ "Our Final 2016 picks" . Sabato's Crystal Ball . Archived from the original on October 15, 2018. Retrieved October 15, 2018 .
^ "2016 Election Maps - 2016 Governor Races" . Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 15, 2018 .
^ "2016 Governors Races Ratings & News" . Governing Magazine. Archived from the original on October 27, 2016. Retrieved October 28, 2016 .
^ "November 8, 2016, General Election Abstract of Votes" . Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved January 3, 2017 .
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