2024 Lithuanian parliamentary election
2024 Lithuanian parliamentary election All 141 seats in the Seimas 71 seats needed for a majority
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Lithuania by 13 October 2024,[1] [2] with a second round two weeks thereafter.
Electoral system
The Seimas has 141 members, elected to a four-year term in parallel voting , with 71 members elected in single-seat constituencies using the two-round system and 70 members elected by proportional representation .[3] The voting in the elections is open to all citizens of Lithuania who are at least 18 years old.
Parliament members in the 71 single-seat constituencies are elected in a majority vote, with a run-off held within 15 days, if necessary. The remaining 70 seats are allocated to the participating political parties using the largest remainder method . Parties normally need to receive at least 5% (7% for multi-party electoral lists) of the votes to be eligible for a seat. Candidates take the seats allocated to their parties based on the preference lists submitted before the election and adjusted by preference votes given by the voters.[3]
Background
Changes to the constitution and new electoral code
After passing amendment of Constitution's article № 56 in April 2022, to be eligible for election, candidates must be at least 21 years old on the election day, not under allegiance to a foreign state and permanently reside in Lithuania,[4] while previously, candidates needed to be at least 25 years old on the election day. Persons serving or due to serve a sentence imposed by the court 65 days before the election are not eligible. Also, judges, citizens performing military service, and servicemen of professional military service and officials of statutory institutions and establishments may not stand for election.[3] In addition, a person who has been removed from office through impeachment may be elected after 10 year period after impeachment.[5] [6]
On 23 June 2022 the Electoral Code was passed. The Code replaced various elections' acts and introduced several changes to the parliamentary elections. Firstly, it gave possibility to establish more than one worldwide constituency. Secondly, it removed a ban of political parties' agitation on Saturdays (e. g. one day prior elections).[7]
Impeached politicians that will be eligible for reelection
Boundary changes
In 2023, single-member constituencies were redrawn. Most boundary changes took part in Klaipėda , Kaunas , Vilnius and their suburbs.[8] [9]
Opinion polls
LOESS curve of the polling for the 2024 Lithuanian parliamentary election.
Parliamentary election poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and its background is shaded in the leading party's colour. The "Lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures.
Pollster
Fieldwork dates
Sample size
TS–LKD
LVŽS
DP
LSDP
LP
LRLS
LLRA−KŠS
LRP
TTS
LT
DSVL
NA
NS
Lead
2024 European elections
9 June 2024
690,900
21.33
9.13
1.66
17.99
8.09
5.41
5.78
5.25
5.45
1.25
5.95
−
3.79
3.34
Spinter tyrimai
17–26 May 2024
1,016
16.4
9.2
2.9
19.3
6.3
9.2
−
−
−
−
9.1
13.0
2.9
2.9
Baltijos tyrimai
16–25 May 2024
1,027
13.6
12.6
8.0
22.7
3.4
4.4
3.4
5.5
1.9
2.5
10.8
9.9
1.1
9.1
Spinter tyrimai
17–25 April 2024
1,018
15.4
9.6
3.2
20.4
5.1
9.9
−
−
−
−
8.4
7.4
2.9
5.0
Spinter tyrimai
18–28 March 2024
1,009
13.7
11.3
3.6
21.1
7.3
9.6
−
−
−
−
7.8
5.6
3.9
7.4
Baltijos tyrimai
15–25 March 2024
1,115
11.8
15.4
7.4
23.2
2.6
6.5
2.8
5.2
−
2.8
12.1
6.5
−
7.8
Vilmorus
15–23 March 2024
1,001
11.0
14.8
7.0
30.3
4.1
9.4
2.3
5.2
−
−
14.3
−
−
15.5
Baltijos tyrimai
22 February – 5 March 2024
1,021
12.7
11.3
5.8
22.3
4.3
4.8
3.2
4.7
−
3.2
15.3
4.5
−
7.0
Spinter tyrimai
18–25 February 2024
1,017
15.3
10.0
4.5
21.4
5.4
8.4
−
−
−
−
8.0
6.4
−
6.1
Vilmorus
8–17 February 2024
1,002
17.6
13.6
7.3
29.6
2.5
7.0
1.7
5.1
−
−
13.6
−
−
12.0
Baltijos tyrimai
19–29 January 2024
1,021
12.0
13.7
7.4
22.3
4.8
5.8
−
5.2
−
4.1
13.7
2.7
−
8.6
Spinter tyrimai
19–26 January 2024
1,012
15.1
10.8
2.9
22.9
5.6
8.2
−
−
−
−
9.7
5.9
2.9
7.8
Baltijos tyrimai
15–30 December 2023
1,017
14.1
13.4
7.1
21.0
4.4
7.9
3.3
5.0
2.0
3.9
17.1
−
−
3.9
Spinter tyrimai
15–23 December 2023
1,012
15.9
13.8
3.2
24.0
3.8
9.1
2.9
2.9
−
3.8
8.9
−
2.2
8.1
Vilmorus
22 November – 2 December 2023
1,000
12.6
12.5
5.9
32.7
4.6
5.9
1.9
5.1
3.6
−
12.3
−
−
20.1
Spinter tyrimai
17–29 November 2023
1,015
15.4
12.7
−
21.9
5.2
10.5
3.2
4.1
−
4.0
6.3
−
−
6.5
Baltijos tyrimai
16–27 November 2023
1,018
11.5
15.5
7.0
23.4
2.8
8.4
2.8
5.7
2.8
−
14.8
−
−
7.9
Vilmorus
9–19 November 2023
−
12.6
12.1
4.4
32.1
3.0
9.0
2.0
3.6
3.7
4.2
10.6
−
−
19.5
Baltijos tyrimai
23 October – 7 November 2023
1,013
11.9
14.1
9.7
25.9
2.8
9.9
1.4
4.6
1.4
3.5
13.6
−
−
11.8
Spinter tyrimai
17–28 October 2023
1,011
16.3
10.0
−
24.0
5.4
11.4
5.2
3.2
−
3.4
8.5
−
−
7.7
Vilmorus
12–21 October 2023
1,003
15.0
11.8
4.6
29.1
3.8
7.6
2.5
3.8
4.3
3.3
12.1
−
1.4
14.1
Spinter tyrimai
18–26 September 2023
1,013
15.3
9.4
4.7
22.8
5.7
12.6
3.5
−
−
5.0
8.9
−
−
7.5
Vilmorus
14–23 September 2023
1,003
19.2
12.4
4.5
31.9
3.7
7.4
1.7
3.9
2.8
4.0
9.3
−
−
14.7
Baltijos tyrimai
24 August – 5 September 2023
1,016
12.5
12.8
7.5
21.8
3.9
9.5
2.9
3.5
1.2
5.0
18.9
−
−
2.9
Spinter tyrimai
20–29 July 2023
1,009
17.4
12.1
3.8
19.6
4.2
10.7
3.3
−
−
3.9
12.4
−
−
2.2
Vilmorus
17–19 July 2023
1,003
16.0
12.6
5.2
31.0
4.3
6.9
1.6
3.9
2.1
2.6
12.3
−
−
15.0
Spinter tyrimai
19–28 June 2023
1,012
12.8
9.7
4.0
18.4
7.0
11.5
3.2
−
−
5.8
11.4
−
−
5.6
Baltijos tyrimai
14–29 June 2023
1,020
11.8
11.5
7.8
23.2
3.5
9.0
4.2
5.5
2.8
2.9
18.6
−
−
4.6
Baltijos tyrimai
12–29 May 2023
1,009
11.2
13.0
6.2
23.2
4.1
9.5
4.3
2.7
0.9
5.0
19.1
−
−
4.1
Spinter tyrimai
19–26 May 2023
1,009
13.1
12.5
5.4
20.7
5.5
9.7
3.4
−
−
5.1
9.4
−
−
7.6
Vilmorus
17–21 May 2023
1,000
13.0
15.4
6.2
29.8
3.9
7.0
1.6
2.6
1.4
4.4
13.5
−
−
14.4
Baltijos tyrimai
20 April – 5 May 2023
1,026
13.4
9.7
9.1
25.8
3.5
9.7
3.4
2.3
1.9
3.2
17.2
−
−
8.6
Spinter tyrimai
18–27 April 2023
1,014
16.6
13.7
2.7
23.5
3.8
9.8
−
−
−
3.8
10.1
−
−
6.7
Vilmorus
14–22 April 2023
1,000
15.6
13.1
3.9
28.8
4.1
8.0
2.3
3.6
2.6
3.3
12.9
−
−
13.2
Spinter tyrimai
17–27 March 2023
1,016
16.5
12.0
3.0
18.1
5.8
9.5
−
−
−
6.1
11.5
−
−
1.6
Vilmorus
9–18 March 2023
1,000
15.1
14.0
4.3
28.2
3.9
7.1
2.0
2.8
3.2
4.2
13.4
−
−
13.1
2023 municipal elections
5 March 2023
1,169,174
16.2
9.2
3.67
17.45
3.55
6.95
5.33
2.47
2.6
0.92
6.68
−
1.12
1.25
Baltijos tyrimai
15–28 February 2023[a]
1,003
14.2
10.0
8.9
18.3
3.4
7.4
4.8
3.6
2.3
4.7
18.3
−
0.6
Tie
Spinter tyrimai
18–27 February 2023
1,012
16.7
12.3
5.5
17.2
5.8
7.8
−
−
−
3.9
13.9
−
−
0.5
Vilmorus
9–18 February 2023
1,000
16.1
14.9
5.1
24.4
5.1
5.3
1.7
3.5
2.4
3.8
16.2
−
−
8.2
Baltijos tyrimai
19–31 January 2023[b]
1,023
15.7
9.7
7.9
19.4
3.6
7.1
2.8
2.8
1.4
3.7
19.8
−
0.1
0.4
Spinter tyrimai
18–27 January 2023
1,010
16.4
13.1
4.6
17.6
6.8
8.9
−
−
−
3.0
17.3
−
−
0.3
Spinter tyrimai
15–24 December 2022
1,010
19.8
8.8
3.0
17.8
4.5
8.6
−
−
−
3.9
14.5
−
−
2.0
Vilmorus
8–15 December 2022
1,000
16.7
12.7
6.0
25.0
3.6
9.3
1.8
2.7
1.9
3.4
15.3
−
−
8.3
Baltijos tyrimai
17 November – 2 December 2022[c]
1,026
12.2
11.3
7.3
16.2
3.8
9.5
3.0
2.6
2.1
8.6
18.9
−
0.3
2.7
Spinter tyrimai
18–29 November 2022
1,013
18.8
12.5
3.6
16.9
4.1
8.3
−
−
−
5.0
12.1
−
−
1.9
Vilmorus
10–19 November 2022
1,000
17.1
10.5
5.6
24.3
2.5
8.1
2.9
3.4
1.2
9.5
13.1
−
−
7.2
Baltijos tyrimai
26 October – 8 November 2022[d]
1,026
15.7
12.4
8.0
17.7
3.7
7.5
2.6
3.2
2.2
8.0
16.1
−
−
1.6
Spinter tyrimai
18–28 October 2022
1,011
21.5
10.4
3.6
17.8
5.4
8.8
−
−
−
8.0
11.2
−
−
3.7
Vilmorus
11–16 October 2022
1,002
18.7
10.1
5.8
23.7
2.7
8.6
1.4
4.4
1.9
7.5
11.4
−
−
3.5
Spinter tyrimai
20–30 September 2022
1,010
18.7
10.1
5.8
17.6
6.1
9.7
−
−
−
7.5
10.1
−
−
1.1
Baltijos tyrimai
16−27 September 2022[e]
1,024
13.4
10.6
8.3
20.0
3.6
7.0
4.2
3.4
2.4
8.9
15.7
−
−
4.3
Vilmorus
15–24 September 2022
1,000
18.9
11.6
5.9
22.4
2.8
6.4
1.9
5.4
2.8
8.6
12.3
−
−
2.5
Spinter tyrimai
25 August – 2 September 2022
1,006
19.1
10.8
3.6
12.7
7.8
9.8
−
−
−
6.4
14.5
−
−
4.6
Baltijos tyrimai
August 2022[f]
–
15.0
10.6
6.4
18.3
3.1
9.4
2.7
2.2
1.1
8.7
20.1
−
−
1.8
Baltijos tyrimai
12–28 July 2022
1,021
15.8
7.4
6.5
20.0
2.5
9.9
3.3
2.2
1.8
12.7
16.9
−
−
3.1
Spinter tyrimai
18–28 July 2022
1,013
16.5
10.9
3.6
14.8
6.6
9.4
−
−
−
7.0
16.5
−
−
Tie
Vilmorus
15–23 July 2022
1,003
17.4
11.6
6.1
20.8
3.9
8.7
1.3
3.6
1.8
6.8
16.2
−
−
3.4
Spinter tyrimai
18–28 June 2022
1,015
19.7
9.5
4.2
16.4
5.2
8.0
−
−
−
7.5
17.0
−
−
2.7
Vilmorus
9–18 June 2022
1,003
18.1
11.5
4.7
22.5
4.2
7.6
1.1
4.3
2.2
8.1
14.7
−
−
4.4
Baltijos tyrimai
16–28 May 2022
1,021
15.4
7.3
6.8
17.1
3.7
8.5
2.9
2.5
3.0
10.7
20.9
−
−
3.8
Spinter tyrimai
18–27 May 2022
1,013
20.3
8.6
5.1
18.7
6.5
8.1
–
–
–
6.8
12.8
−
−
1.6
Vilmorus
12–18 May 2022
1,001
19.9
9.1
6.1
25.8
4.3
8.7
1.6
2.5
2.5
–
19.1
−
−
5.9
Spinter tyrimai
20–28 April 2022
1,007
20.1
10.2
6.1
13.9
6.5
9.3
–
–
–
6.4
14.8
−
−
5.3
Baltijos tyrimai
13–27 April 2022
1,009
14.7
6.6
6.3
19.0
2.9
9.5
3.8
1.0
1.0
10.7
22.0
−
−
3.0
Open Agency/Norstat
15–22 April 2022[g]
1,000
23.4
11.8
4.5
16.6
6.5
7.1
2.5
1.3
2.0
5.5
12.4
−
−
6.8
Spinter tyrimai
17–25 March 2022
1,007
19.3
9.7
6.2
15.1
5.5
8.9
–
–
–
6.9
15.8
−
−
3.5
Baltijos tyrimai
10–24 March 2022
1,000
13.3
7.5
7.7
18.0
4.2
10.7
5.0
2.1
0.9
9.8
18.8
−
−
0.8
Vilmorus
10–19 March 2022
1,005
19.0
10.7
6.9
23.0
2.3
8.2
1.3
4.0
3.5
–
19.8
−
−
3.2
Baltijos tyrimai
22 February – 3 March 2022
1,017
16.6
8.7
8.8
17.1
4.1
9.5
3.7
1.4
0.7
8.8
19.5
−
−
2.4
Spinter tyrimai
17–25 February 2022
1,010
17.3
9.6
9.4
17.6
6.5
8.6
–
–
–
5.9
12.5
−
−
0.3
Vilmorus
3–8 February 2022
1,005
15.8
12.8
8.6
26.9
3.2
7.7
1.5
3.6
–
–
17.8
−
−
9.1
Baltijos tyrimai
24 January – 4 February 2022
1,022
11.9
13.4
13.4
23.9
4.5
10.5
4.5
1.5
1.5
11.9
–
−
−
13.5
Spinter tyrimai
17–29 January 2022
1,010
16.9
11.2
8.7
14.9
7.9
9.6
–
–
–
5.8
11.9
−
−
2.0
Spinter tyrimai
13–25 December 2021
1,012
17.0
10.6
6.6
17.2
7.4
11.3
–
–
–
5.7
11.3
−
−
0.2
Open Agency/Norstat
10–18 December 2021[h]
1,002
24.6
8.9
7.5
17.8
4.6
9.8
2.4
–
0.9
4.9
10.5
−
1.7
6.8
Vilmorus
10–18 December 2021
1,000
17.5
13.7
9.9
32.0
3.8
10.9
1.2
5.5
–
–
–
−
−
14.5
Baltijos tyrimai
16 November – 2 December 2021
1,009
15.5
15.0
7.8
25.7
4.1
11.2
3.3
2.6
2.6
10.1
–
−
−
10.2
Spinter tyrimai
11–28 November 2021
1,015
16.5
13.4
9.0
19.4
8.0
9.0
–
3.0
–
5.0
–
−
−
2.9
Vilmorus
18–27 November 2021
1,000
19.3
17.6
8.7
27.3
4.7
9.4
3.2
4.5
–
–
–
−
−
8.0
Baltijos tyrimai
17 October – 5 November 2021
1,004
14.1
14.1
10.3
26.7
3.1
10.9
4.3
2.0
2.3
10.4
–
−
−
12.7
Spinter tyrimai
18–28 October 2021
1,015
17.4
13.2
9.8
19.5
7.4
11.4
–
–
–
4.4
–
−
−
2.1
Vilmorus
15–22 October 2021
1,000
16.7
16.1
9.8
28.9
4.6
10.8
2.2
5.2
–
–
–
−
−
12.2
Baltijos tyrimai
17 September – 3 October 2021
1,004
15.5
15.1
7.8
25.7
4.1
11.2
3.4
2.7
2.7
10.2
–
−
−
10.2
Spinter tyrimai
17–26 September 2021
1,009
18.6
13.8
9.4
21.2
8.0
10.1
–
3.0
–
–
–
−
−
2.6
Vilmorus
9–16 September 2021
1,003
21.6
17.4
9.4
29.6
3.0
10.1
2.0
2.5
–
–
–
−
−
8.0
Spinter tyrimai
24–31 August 2021
1,014
18.9
17.3
9.5
18.6
8.3
10.9
–
4.5
–
–
–
−
−
0.3
Baltijos tyrimai
20–31 August 2021
1,006
15.7
17.3
7.4
25.9
5.0
9.1
5.5
2.5
–
8.6
–
−
−
8.6
Vilmorus
29 July – 5 August 2021
1,000
19.5
23.2
8.7
23.6
4.4
8.1
2.6
4.0
–
–
–
−
−
0.4
Spinter tyrimai
17–28 June 2021
1,003
20.8
22.8
6.3
15.3
8.5
10.9
2.7
–
–
–
–
−
−
2.0
Vilmorus
9–18 June 2021
1,000
20.2
25.9
8.9
22.8
5.0
10.3
1.4
3.4
–
–
–
−
−
5.7
Baltijos tyrimai
20 May – 2 June 2021
1,018
17.3
22.0
11.9
20.0
5.4
12.9
4.9
–
–
5.1
–
−
−
2.0
Spinter tyrimai
18–28 May 2021
1,011
23.0
22.0
7.6
10.9
8.6
12.6
2.7
–
–
–
–
−
−
1.0
Vilmorus
11–21 May 2021
1,004
24.5
26.8
7.3
16.9
5.8
10.2
2.1
5.1
–
–
–
−
−
2.3
Spinter tyrimai
19–28 April 2021
1,006
23.7
23.1
7.4
8.2
9.0
12.5
3.6
–
–
–
–
−
−
0.6
Vilmorus
8–17 April 2021
1,001
29.2
26.5
6.7
11.7
6.9
9.1
1.0
7.0
–
–
–
−
−
2.7
Spinter tyrimai
17–23 March 2021
1,011
23.5
21.1
7.4
8.6
9.8
12.8
3.9
–
–
3.0
–
−
−
2.4
Spinter tyrimai
17–26 February 2021
1,014
25.6
18.3
5.8
6.5
11.8
12.9
4.5
–
–
4.3
–
−
−
7.3
Spinter tyrimai
18–27 January 2021
1,013
27.2
16.1
6
8.5
11.8
12.6
4.2
–
–
2.4
–
−
−
11.1
Spinter tyrimai
10–20 December 2020
1,007
23.3
19.7
8.1
7.8
11.7
12.1
4.6
–
–
–
–
−
−
3.6
Baltijos tyrimai
6–30 November 2020
1,004
22.7
19.0
10.5
9.4
11.3
12.9
4.7
1.9
2.5
4.2
–
−
−
3.7
2020 parliamentary election
1,174,843
25.77
18.07
9.77
9.59
9.45
7.05
4.97
3.28
2.36
2.06
–
–
2.21
7.7
See also
Notes
References